**It certainly wouldbe nice if Fenris revisited this piece and finished it. The Mayor doesn’t like posts that end with the word “and”. It leaves too much up in the air. This post is from 2.14.2010. Woulda coulda shoulda won some sort of award, and…
I have been bothered at my leisure with demands for production about the soon to be non-existance of Israel. Yeah, sure, it is a tasty subject for satire. It is grim and there will be quite a few war movies, great war movies of the future, to be written, scripted, story-boarded, filmed, edited, and shown. So I will write quick, as there are only a few more paragraphs to go before I am done with you.
Today is the first Saturday after the Persians went public with the Bomb. They have the Bomb. They have stated quite clearly the conditions under which they will use their Bomb. This is quite Queensberry rules, and every dead Statesman you talk to on the Ouija board will tell you that what they say is true enough to take heed of, and if you heed their boundary conditions, the Bomb will not go boom. So what? So what does this have to do with Israel? Those Persian atomic bombs can only hit Los Angeles, maybe San Francisco, certainly Honolulu. Utah is safe. So who cares?
Sure, Israel has the Bomb. They have the Bomb too. Big Deal. This problem is not a big problem as far as Military problems go. Israel does not fear the Bomb. They are more likely to fire their broadside first, and it just might happen in this wonderful decade of 2010. But before we get to how earthquakes and atomic bombs are like each other in effect, I want to talk about the ruthless self-interest of nation states.
This is a bad thing for Israel, but not in the way you would expect. History suggests that powers that pay tribute, pay tribute for appeasement, effect, or subterfuge.
Appeasement. The defeated in war end up paying tribute. A certain amount of the trillions invested in Israel every year has a proportion, a percentage that is simple weregild, blood money for a ’sorry we shot your Grandpa’ that comes with a rather nice greeting card.
Appeasement, but. But the great power that was enforcing this payment is under a leader of Hope and Change. He has been bowing to these other, lesser, tribute paying powers. Today, Saturday, the Final Decision Makers are listening to Opera at their weekend retreats, sipping the best, and deciding. Maybe the Israel money does not have to be paid. Not now. The Americans are choosing retreat as their policy. So weregild for Israel can stop.
Effect. Sure, your tribute money buys you some peace and contentment over close there to where the oil fields are. But lately, last few years, those shipping lines, pipelines, refineries are